terraloon
First Team Squad
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Based on recent comments from Masters re the ongoing investigation and the inference within that things are fast reaching a conclusion I thought it might be a good idea to start a thread where comments re this issue could be posted as opposed to people adding such comments to other threads.
I found Masters comment really interesting and yes I may have misread but I am actually, at this point, not as concerned as I was previously.
There are three routes the matter could go:
1) Independent Commission ( IC)
2) Agreed Settlement
3) No further action.
1)To progress the matter to an IC the PL disciplinary team will have to be confident that they can prove matters to a standard of the “balance of probability”
Ah you might say the owners self reported matters but that is the first unknown in that we haven’t a clue what has been reported. Irrespective as Masters acknowledges it’s complicated and my guess if for no other reason is that RA and previous directors/ officials can not be compelled to engage with the investigation meaning that it’s highly unlikely that any of those individuals will have been interviewed, if they have they almost certainly would have not added too much but unless they had access specifically to RA and his own accounts and records without context it would be very difficult to reach a balanced conclusion.
2) If I were a betting man this would be the outcome. What this would mean is that PL and Chelsea would reach the stage where indiscretions would appear to have happened but the PL might not be confident enough to test their evidence in front of IC.
On the flip Chelsea will possibly/ probably be content to acknowledge that matters were not as they should be but again if a set of sanctions can be agreed between the two parties then whilst the evidence isn’t tested a panel will be required to rubber stamp the details of the settlement.
Bear in mind that there is still circa £100 million in reserve. A sum that was withheld from the proceeds of sale and to be honest keeping it won’t be off any benefit to the owners or the PL as that £100million will simply be moved to the frozen account in which the proceeds of sale held. Imagine what that sum could do either as a payment to PL clubs “ impacted “ during 2012-219 or to the wider football community
Another reason I think / hope this will be the route is that it will set a precedent which almost certainly would be there prior to resolution of the city case and should that not go well for city without mitigation who knows what any IC would level.
So I would be content a fine of £50-£100 million ( unprecedented) not sure at all about a points deduction maybe 6 points most of which would be suspended and a two window embargo. It’s time that some on here acknowledge that there was an issue uncovered and self reported and it’s one of the issues that the new owners have had to try and navigate and above all prepare the club should there be draconian sanctions
3) Would be the ideal but I suspect unlikely
Thoughts
I found Masters comment really interesting and yes I may have misread but I am actually, at this point, not as concerned as I was previously.
There are three routes the matter could go:
1) Independent Commission ( IC)
2) Agreed Settlement
3) No further action.
1)To progress the matter to an IC the PL disciplinary team will have to be confident that they can prove matters to a standard of the “balance of probability”
Ah you might say the owners self reported matters but that is the first unknown in that we haven’t a clue what has been reported. Irrespective as Masters acknowledges it’s complicated and my guess if for no other reason is that RA and previous directors/ officials can not be compelled to engage with the investigation meaning that it’s highly unlikely that any of those individuals will have been interviewed, if they have they almost certainly would have not added too much but unless they had access specifically to RA and his own accounts and records without context it would be very difficult to reach a balanced conclusion.
2) If I were a betting man this would be the outcome. What this would mean is that PL and Chelsea would reach the stage where indiscretions would appear to have happened but the PL might not be confident enough to test their evidence in front of IC.
On the flip Chelsea will possibly/ probably be content to acknowledge that matters were not as they should be but again if a set of sanctions can be agreed between the two parties then whilst the evidence isn’t tested a panel will be required to rubber stamp the details of the settlement.
Bear in mind that there is still circa £100 million in reserve. A sum that was withheld from the proceeds of sale and to be honest keeping it won’t be off any benefit to the owners or the PL as that £100million will simply be moved to the frozen account in which the proceeds of sale held. Imagine what that sum could do either as a payment to PL clubs “ impacted “ during 2012-219 or to the wider football community
Another reason I think / hope this will be the route is that it will set a precedent which almost certainly would be there prior to resolution of the city case and should that not go well for city without mitigation who knows what any IC would level.
So I would be content a fine of £50-£100 million ( unprecedented) not sure at all about a points deduction maybe 6 points most of which would be suspended and a two window embargo. It’s time that some on here acknowledge that there was an issue uncovered and self reported and it’s one of the issues that the new owners have had to try and navigate and above all prepare the club should there be draconian sanctions
3) Would be the ideal but I suspect unlikely
Thoughts
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