Many moving pieces and things to consider here:
- Has arguably become our most important defender and can't blame him for looking at wages of players like Chilwell, Odoi, Werner, etc
- Let's assume we do resign him on 225K p/w; that is 12M per year or 47M over 4 years, plus probably something in the 10% plus loyalty bonus
- Any replacement of similar quality will cost 60M+ (look at Kounde), and lesser quality is not cheap (White at 50M raises eyebrows). Assume Kounde would be on something around 200K over 5 years (52M), or amortized annually with transfer fee 22M per year
- It doesn't show yet, but we do have a defensive gap. Silva is 37, Dave is not getting any younger, Chalobah has lots of potential but still relatively unproven, with Christensen growing nicely in a back 3
- The transfer market has changed. Despite it going bananas with Lukaku, Messi, and CR, generally speaking, PL clubs have substantial purchasing power and little need to sell. Where would the next defender come from, and who comes to mind beyond Kounde
- Maybe step back and see how Liverpool do this season. They spent significant sums this summer resigning critical players, with large increases. Off to a strong start
We will run into our own structural limits, over 30 policy, and candidly Rudi's injury record does not help him. If it were up to me I'd resign him, but we've probably also seen the best from him.